Arbeitspapier
A Unique Bond: Twin Bereavement and Lifespan Associations of Identical and Fraternal Twins
Empirical analyses of twin mortality often use models with dependent unobserved frailty terms capturing genetic and childhood environmental determinants. This ignores that mortality rates can be co-dependent due to bereavement effects, i.e. to a time-dependent causal effect of the loss of the co-twin on the mortality rate of the surviving twin. We develop a novel methodology and perform an empirical analysis based on a comprehensive model incorporating both types of dependence. We prove full identification without functional-form restrictions and we estimate models with data on twin pairs from the Danish Twin Registry. Among men, the loss of an identical co-twin at age 75 causally reduces the remaining lifetime on average by more than a year. This bereavement effect is less severe among non-identical twins or if the loss occurs at a higher age. Estimates of correlations between the frailty terms by zygosity and the ensuing implications for the relative importance of mortality determinants are highly sensitive to whether bereavement is taken into account.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 11448
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Health and Inequality
- Subject
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mortality
longevity
duration
frailty
genetic determinants
hazard rate
identification
loss of co-twin
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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van den Berg, Gerard J.
Drepper, Bettina
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
- (where)
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Bonn
- (when)
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2018
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
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Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- van den Berg, Gerard J.
- Drepper, Bettina
- Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
Time of origin
- 2018