Arbeitspapier

A Unique Bond: Twin Bereavement and Lifespan Associations of Identical and Fraternal Twins

Empirical analyses of twin mortality often use models with dependent unobserved frailty terms capturing genetic and childhood environmental determinants. This ignores that mortality rates can be co-dependent due to bereavement effects, i.e. to a time-dependent causal effect of the loss of the co-twin on the mortality rate of the surviving twin. We develop a novel methodology and perform an empirical analysis based on a comprehensive model incorporating both types of dependence. We prove full identification without functional-form restrictions and we estimate models with data on twin pairs from the Danish Twin Registry. Among men, the loss of an identical co-twin at age 75 causally reduces the remaining lifetime on average by more than a year. This bereavement effect is less severe among non-identical twins or if the loss occurs at a higher age. Estimates of correlations between the frailty terms by zygosity and the ensuing implications for the relative importance of mortality determinants are highly sensitive to whether bereavement is taken into account.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 11448

Classification
Wirtschaft
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Health and Inequality
Subject
mortality
longevity
duration
frailty
genetic determinants
hazard rate
identification
loss of co-twin

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van den Berg, Gerard J.
Drepper, Bettina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van den Berg, Gerard J.
  • Drepper, Bettina
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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