Arbeitspapier

Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior

Using longitudinal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we analyze the effects of exposure to trade on the fertility and marital behavior of German workers. We find that individuals working in sectors that were more affected by import competition from Eastern Europe and suffered worse labor market outcomes were less likely to have children. In contrast, workers in sectors that benefited from increased exports had better employment prospects and higher fertility. These effects are driven by low-educated and married men, and reflect changes in the likelihood of having any child (extensive margin). While among workers exposed to import competition there is evidence of some fertility postponement, we find a significant reduction of completed fertility. There is instead little evidence of any significant effect on marital behavior.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 14224

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Empirical Studies of Trade
Trade and Labor Market Interactions
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Thema
international trade
labor market outcomes
fertility
marriage

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Giuntella, Osea
Rotunno, Lorenzo
Stella, Luca
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Giuntella, Osea
  • Rotunno, Lorenzo
  • Stella, Luca
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2021

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