Arbeitspapier

Income in the off-season: Household adaptation to yearly work interruptions

Joblessness is highly seasonal. To analyze how households adapt to seasonal joblessness, we introduce a measure of seasonal work interruptions premised on the idea that a seasonal worker will tend to exit employment around the same time each year. We show that an excess share of prime-age U.S. workers experience recurrent separations spaced exactly 12 months apart. These separations coincide with aggregate seasonal downturns and are concentrated in seasonally volatile industries. Examining workers most prone to seasonal work interruptions, we find that these workers incur large earnings losses during the off-season. Lost earnings are 1) driven mainly by repeated separations from the same employer, 2) not recouped at other firms, 3) partly offset by unemployment benefits, and 4) amplified by concurrent drops in partners' earnings. On net, household income falls by about $0.80 for each $1 lost in own earnings.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Upjohn Institute Working Paper ; No. 20-337

Classification
Wirtschaft
Household Behavior: General
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Subject
seasonality
seasonal employment
job loss
household income
household labor dynamics
unemployment
unemployment insurance

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Coglianese, John
Price, Brendan M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
(where)
Kalamazoo, MI
(when)
2020

DOI
doi:10.17848/wp20-337
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Coglianese, John
  • Price, Brendan M.
  • W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research

Time of origin

  • 2020

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