Arbeitspapier

A macroeconometric model of the Chinese economy

This paper describes a quarterly macroeconometric model of the Chinese economy. The model comprises household consumption, investment, government, trade, production, prices, money, and employment blocks. The equilibrium-correction form is used for all the behavioral equations and the general→simple dynamic specification approach is adopted. Great efforts have been made to achieve the best possible blend of standard long-run theories, country-specific institutional features and short-run dynamics in data. The tracking performance of the model is evaluated. Forecasting and empirical investigation of a number of topical macroeconomic issues utilizing model simulations have shown the model to be immensely useful.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 553

Classification
Wirtschaft
Model Construction and Estimation
General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
Macroeconometric model, Chinese economy, Forecasts, Simulations

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Qin, Duo
Cagas, Marie Anne
Ducanes, Geoffrey
He, Xinhua
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics
(where)
London
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Qin, Duo
  • Cagas, Marie Anne
  • Ducanes, Geoffrey
  • He, Xinhua
  • Queen Mary University of London, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2006

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