Artikel
Spreads and volatility in house returns
Underlying idiosyncratic and illiquidity risks are suppressed in infrequently reported indexes of house prices and rents. Idiosyncratic risks result from bid-ask spreads for prices and rents. Time series autocovariances generate a distribution of prices and rents. Capital gains and rent-price ratios are transforms of these distributions, generating cross-sectional idiosyncratic volatility. Housing data are infrequent and usually made available every month. The monthly-quarterly volatility ratios of house prices and rents and their spreads estimate unobserved daily fluctuations and illiquidity risks. Including idiosyncratic and illiquidity risks, a U.S. house has a standard deviation in returns of 8.7% annually for three decades after 1990. With a mean excess return of 3.7%, the Sharpe ratio of 0.42 is comparable to the S&P 500. Excluding spreads, the house Sharpe ratio is 0.69. House returns respond to liquidity. A 1% increase in volume raises returns by 0.8%.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Journal: Journal of Risk and Financial Management ; ISSN: 1911-8074 ; Volume: 15 ; Year: 2022 ; Issue: 8 ; Pages: 1-16
- Classification
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Management
- Subject
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volatility
bid–
ask spreads
house returns
idiosyncratic risk
illiquidity
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Chinloy, Peter
Jiang, Cheng
John, Kose
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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MDPI
- (where)
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Basel
- (when)
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2022
- DOI
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doi:10.3390/jrfm15080369
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Artikel
Associated
- Chinloy, Peter
- Jiang, Cheng
- John, Kose
- MDPI
Time of origin
- 2022
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