Arbeitspapier

Uncertain Technological Change under Capital Mobility

The analysis in this paper shows that unpredictable variations in economic productivity may have a positive or negative effect on the average growth rate of output. This theoretical ambiguity result is not solely determined by the value of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (of consumption) - as is the case in earlier analyses - but depends on two factors. That is, the growth-uncertainty relationship depends on whether returns to scale in knowledge creation are increasing or non-increasing and whether the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (of profits) is higher or lower than some critical value. Empirical studies concerning these two factors indicate that unpredictable variations in economic productivity have a negative effect on the average long-run growth rate.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 05-033/2

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Long-run growth
Technological change
Uncertainty
Technischer Fortschritt
Produktivität
Kapitalmobilität
Wirtschaftswachstum
Risikoaversion
Neue Wachstumstheorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
de Hek, Paul A.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • de Hek, Paul A.
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2005

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