Arbeitspapier

Assessing the costs and benefits of capital-based macroprudential policy

We develop an integrated Early Warning Global Vector Autoregressive (EW-GVAR) model to quantify the costs and benefits of capital-based macroprudential policy measures. Our findings illustrate that capital-based measures are transmitted both via their impact on the banking system's resilience and via indirect macro-financial feedback effects. The feedback effects relate to dampened credit and asset price growth and, depending on how banks move to higher capital ratios, can account for up to a half of the overall effectiveness of capitalbased measures. Moreover, we document significant cross-country spillover effects, especially for measures implemented in larger countries. Overall, our model helps to understand how and through which channels changes in capitalization affect bank lending and the wider economy and can inform policy makers on the optimal calibration and timing of capital-based macroprudential instruments.

ISBN
978-92-95081-44-4
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ESRB Working Paper Series ; No. 17

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Crises
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Subject
Macroprudential policy
cost-benefit analysis
early-warning system
GVAR

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Behn, Markus
Groß, Marco
Peltonen, Tuomas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), European System of Financial Supervision
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2016

DOI
doi:10.2849/430996
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Behn, Markus
  • Groß, Marco
  • Peltonen, Tuomas
  • European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), European System of Financial Supervision

Time of origin

  • 2016

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