Arbeitspapier
External and macroeconomic adjustment in the larger euro area countries
A balanced current account in the euro area has disguised sizeable net lending imbalances at the country level, exposing the common currency area to severe pressures during the financial crisis. The key contribution of this paper is to evaluate the adjustment process through the lenses of the New Multi Country Model at the country and sectoral level. We find that shocks to the external, fiscal and monetary environment help explain, to a large degree, the sizeable current account adjustment and rise in unemployment in Spain. The model also suggests that a recovery in wage competitiveness helps to reduce external deficits at the cost of higher net borrowing by households. The stimulus effects on aggregate demand, via the interest rate response of the common monetary authority and the competitiveness channel, are present but not overly large, as the rebound in economic activity depends mainly on global demand, supportive monetary policy, business and consumer confidence.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1647
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Economywide Country Studies: Europe
- Thema
-
current account
euro area countries
modeling
net lending
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Angelini, Elena
Ca' Zorzi, Michele
Forster, Katrin
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
European Central Bank (ECB)
- (wo)
-
Frankfurt a. M.
- (wann)
-
2014
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Angelini, Elena
- Ca' Zorzi, Michele
- Forster, Katrin
- European Central Bank (ECB)
Entstanden
- 2014
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