Arbeitspapier

A note on Krugman's liquidity trap

The 1998 stylized model of Krugman constituted a ground-breaking contribution explaining the long lasting Japanese stagnation as the consequence of a "liquidity trap" situation featuring a negative natural interest rate. Our critique to such a proposal will focus on three aspects. First, we will question the logical structure of the model, providing an alternative interpretation of its closure. Second, we will argue that aggregate demand has no role in the explanation, as the cause for the persistent excess of savings over desired investment is the result of a supply side shock plus a financial rigidity on the nominal interest rate. Finally, we will discuss the restrictive assumptions needed to get a negative natural interest rate, the concept that lies at the foundation of the entire theoretical apparatus. Our conclusion is that the explanation offered within the 1998 contribution does not provide a satisfying rationale for the Japanese stagnation.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2018-17

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Money and Interest Rates: General
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
Liquidity trap
Japanese stagnation
natural interest rate

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Di Bucchianico, Stefano
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics
(where)
Amherst, MA
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Di Bucchianico, Stefano
  • University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2018

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