Arbeitspapier

Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) priors for Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) models: DSGE model comparison

This Paper describes a procedure for constructing theory restricted prior distributions for BVAR models. The Bayes Factor, which is obtained without any additional computational e?ort, can be used to assess the plausibility of the restrictions imposed on the VAR parameter vector by competing DSGE models. In other words, it is possible to rank the amount of abstraction implied by each DSGE model from the historical data.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2007/15

Classification
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Estimation: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Subject
BVAR
DSGE Model Evaluation
Gibbs Sampling
Bayes Factor
Dynamisches Gleichgewicht
VAR-Modell
Bayes-Statistik
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Theodoridis, Konstantinos
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Theodoridis, Konstantinos
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2007

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