Arbeitspapier

On Estimating the Size of the Shadow Economy

As long as it is employed cautiously enough, the model approach is a useful tool to estimate simultaneously the size and the development of the shadow economy in several countries. However, a second method is necessary to calibrate the model. The currency demand approach can lead to highly implausible results; the size of the shadow economy might be largely overestimated. An alternative is the survey method. For real tests of whether a variable has an impact, procedures are necessary that do not use the same variables as those used to construct the indicator. Thus, to make progress in analysing the shadow economy, the model approach has a role to play, but it has to be complemented by other methods employing different data. The currency demand approach cannot be used as long as it employs the same variables for its constructions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5753

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
Methodological Issues: General
Thema
shadow economy
model approach
currency demand approach
survey methods
tax burden
testing
plausibility tests

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kirchgässner, Gebhard
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kirchgässner, Gebhard
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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