Arbeitspapier

Identifying endogenous fiscal policy rules for macroeconomic models

In this paper, we present a model-based method for identifying fiscal closure rules in stochastic macroeconomic models. The methodology is based on the stability analysis of the model at hand, with an endogenous derivation of a reaction on the part of the fiscal authority to state variables in the model. The rule achieves the dual aim of imposing solvency on the fiscal sector and generating a state-contingent dynamic adjustment in a framework consistent with the properties of the model. Up to now, fiscal rules in leading large-scale macroeconomic forecasting models have been imposed exogenously, and in this sense are not necessarily compatible with the formulation of other sectors of these models. An example of the derivation procedure, including some illustrative results, is provided using a small calibrated macro model.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 156

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Thema
Closure rules
Fiscal Policy
JEL classification C5
macroeconomic models
Stability analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Pérez, Javier J.
Hiebert, Paul
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2002

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Pérez, Javier J.
  • Hiebert, Paul
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2002

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