Arbeitspapier

Improving income protection for the elderly poor in Ecuador

A series of social benefits targeting vulnerable groups, such as the elderly population, has been implemented in Ecuador over the last few decades. Elderly adults living in vulnerable conditions and not affiliated with social security are entitled to noncontributory pension assistance under the Human Development Transfer program. However, over one quarter of old-age beneficiaries still live in poverty and the recent fall in oil prices has put increasing pressure on government expenditures to deliver such schemes. This paper aims to assess the current needs of old-age adults based on expenditure data, and makes use of microsimulation techniques to evaluate the effect of covering those needs through an increase in pension assistance. Our results show that increasing pension assistance to match the level of the poverty line in Ecuador would reduce elderly poverty by 40% and would take 18% of old-age beneficiaries out of poverty. We analyze the effect of additional hypothetical reforms and discuss the importance of using microsimulation techniques, in particular to assess the effect of budget neutral reforms in a macroeconomic environment with low oil prices.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: EUROMOD Working Paper ; No. EM2/18

Classification
Wirtschaft
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies; includes inheritance and gift taxes
Household Production and Intrahousehold Allocation
Subject
Pension Assistance
Human Development Transfer
Microsimulation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Amores L., César A.
Jara, H. Xavier
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
(where)
Colchester
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Amores L., César A.
  • Jara, H. Xavier
  • University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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