Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU enlargement

Arbeitspapier

This paper explores the influence of the economic cycle on labour mobility within the EU, focusing on the likely impact of the present economic crisis. To do so, we use an econometrically calibrated simulation and a case study of Ireland. We find that, in the short run, the crisis is likely to lead to a somewhat lower stock of migrants from the new member states in the EU15 than would have been the case without the crisis on account of diminished job opportunities for migrants. By contrast, in the longer run the crisis might lead to a moderate increase in migration from some of the new member states compared to what would have been the case without the crisis. The latter is driven by the observation that the crisis may have undermined the economic growth model of some of the new member states, thereby slowing down their economic catching-up process.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Bruegel Working Paper ; No. 2009/04

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; International Migration ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models ; Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers ; Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development ; Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration ; Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
• Subject: labour mobility ; economic cycle ; crisis ; European Union ; Arbeitsmigration ; Konjunktur ; EU-Erweiterung ; Wirtschaftskrise ; Panel ; Regression ; Simulation ; EU-Staaten ; Irland

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Ahearnea, Alan ; Brücker, Herbert ; Darvasa, Zsolt ; von Weizsäcker, Jakob
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Bruegel
• (where): Brussels
• (when): 2009

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/77987
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET