Arbeitspapier
Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU enlargement
This paper explores the influence of the economic cycle on labour mobility within the EU, focusing on the likely impact of the present economic crisis. To do so, we use an econometrically calibrated simulation and a case study of Ireland. We find that, in the short run, the crisis is likely to lead to a somewhat lower stock of migrants from the new member states in the EU15 than would have been the case without the crisis on account of diminished job opportunities for migrants. By contrast, in the longer run the crisis might lead to a moderate increase in migration from some of the new member states compared to what would have been the case without the crisis. The latter is driven by the observation that the crisis may have undermined the economic growth model of some of the new member states, thereby slowing down their economic catching-up process.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: Bruegel Working Paper ; No. 2009/04
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
International Migration
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
- Subject
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labour mobility
economic cycle
crisis
European Union
Arbeitsmigration
Konjunktur
EU-Erweiterung
Wirtschaftskrise
Panel
Regression
Simulation
EU-Staaten
Irland
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Ahearnea, Alan
Brücker, Herbert
Darvasa, Zsolt
von Weizsäcker, Jakob
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Bruegel
- (where)
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Brussels
- (when)
-
2009
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET
Data provider
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Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Ahearnea, Alan
- Brücker, Herbert
- Darvasa, Zsolt
- von Weizsäcker, Jakob
- Bruegel
Time of origin
- 2009