Arbeitspapier

Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU enlargement

This paper explores the influence of the economic cycle on labour mobility within the EU, focusing on the likely impact of the present economic crisis. To do so, we use an econometrically calibrated simulation and a case study of Ireland. We find that, in the short run, the crisis is likely to lead to a somewhat lower stock of migrants from the new member states in the EU15 than would have been the case without the crisis on account of diminished job opportunities for migrants. By contrast, in the longer run the crisis might lead to a moderate increase in migration from some of the new member states compared to what would have been the case without the crisis. The latter is driven by the observation that the crisis may have undermined the economic growth model of some of the new member states, thereby slowing down their economic catching-up process.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bruegel Working Paper ; No. 2009/04

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Migration
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
Thema
labour mobility
economic cycle
crisis
European Union
Arbeitsmigration
Konjunktur
EU-Erweiterung
Wirtschaftskrise
Panel
Regression
Simulation
EU-Staaten
Irland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ahearnea, Alan
Brücker, Herbert
Darvasa, Zsolt
von Weizsäcker, Jakob
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bruegel
(wo)
Brussels
(wann)
2009

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Ahearnea, Alan
  • Brücker, Herbert
  • Darvasa, Zsolt
  • von Weizsäcker, Jakob
  • Bruegel

Entstanden

  • 2009

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