Artikel

Disinflation and monetary independence in Romania

In this article, the issue of the monetary independence problem in view of the Romania's European Monetary Union accession is investigated empirically. It is frequently argued that for such a country, the main cost of participation in a currency area is the loss of monetary policy independence. This article raises the question of the actual possibility of monetary independence in a small open economy operating within highly liberalized capital flows and highly integrated financial markets. The main hypothesis of the article is verified using the vector error-correction mechanism model and several parametric hypotheses concerning the speed and asymmetry of adjustment to verify the risk premium and the nature of transmission of the Euribor interest rates on the Romanian Robor. The hypothesis of a one- to-one relationship between interest rates between Romania and the Eurozone cannot be rejected, despite the rapid disinflation at the beginning of the sample.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Baltic Journal of Economics ; ISSN: 2334-4385 ; Volume: 15 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 65-79 ; London: Taylor & Francis

Classification
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Open Economy Macroeconomics
International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Subject
EMU
inflation targeting
monetary policy independence
monetary union
small open economy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Goczek, Lukasz
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Taylor & Francis
(where)
London
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.1080/1406099X.2015.1101876
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Goczek, Lukasz
  • Taylor & Francis

Time of origin

  • 2015

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