Arbeitspapier

The Sraffian supermultiplier and cycles: Theory and empirics

This paper provides a theoretical and empirical reassessment of supermultiplier theory. First, we show that, as a result of the passive role it assigns to investment, the Sraffian supermultiplier (SSM) predicts that the rate of utilization leads the investment share in a dampened cycle or, equivalently, that a convergent cyclical motion in the utilization-investment share plane would be counterclockwise. Second, impulse response functions from standard recursive vector autoregressions (VAR) for postwar US samples strongly indicate that the investment share leads the rate of utilization, or that these cycles are clockwise. These results raise questions about the key mechanism underlying supermultiplier theory.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 993

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Thema
Sraffian Supermultiplier
Cyclical Growth
(Induced) Investment
Desired Rate of Capacity Utilization

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Nikiforos, Michalis
Santetti, Marcio
Von Arnim, Rudiger
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
(wo)
Annandale-on-Hudson, NY
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Nikiforos, Michalis
  • Santetti, Marcio
  • Von Arnim, Rudiger
  • Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

Entstanden

  • 2021

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