Exchange rate depreciations and local business cycles: The role of bank loan supply

Arbeitspapier

This paper uses matched bank-firm-level data and the 2014 depreciation of the euro to show that exchange rate depreciations lead to increased bank loan supply of large banks with significant net foreign asset exposure. This increase in lending can be explained by a shift in credit towards both export-intensive firms and small banks without foreign asset exposure that have a higher share of exporting firms in their credit portfolio. We also find that German regions where these reallocation effects are stronger experience higher output growth. In economic terms, we show that such regions grow by 1.2 percentage points more than less exposed regions, cumulatively, in the two years after the depreciation relative to the two pre-depreciation years.

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• ISBN: 978-3-95729-862-1
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 52/2021

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy ; Monetary Policy ; Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages ; Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
• Subject: Exchange Rates ; Bank Lending ; Interbank Markets ; Real Effects ; Regional Business Cycles ; Germany

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Beck, Thorsten ; Bednarek, Peter ; te Kaat, Daniel Marcel ; von Westernhagen, Natalja
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Deutsche Bundesbank
• (where): Frankfurt a. M.
• (when): 2021

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/248737