Arbeitspapier

Enhanced Intergenerational Occupational Mobility through Trade Expansion: Evidence from Vietnam

Using eight rounds of the Vietnam Household Living Standards Surveys (VHLSSs) spanning 16 years and exploiting the US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) in 2001 as a large export shock, we investigate the impact of this shock on intergenerational occupational mobility in Vietnam employing a difference-in-differences research design. Our analysis suggests that the BTA has led to substantial upward occupational mobility, allowing both sons and daughters to have better occupations than their parents, with the effects being larger for daughter-mother pairs. The effect is larger in the long-run compared to the short-run. We find evidence that the driving force is an increase in skill demand via gender-biased expansion in export volumes. The effects are largely driven by intersectoral resource reallocation rather than within-sector upgrades. In addition, the BTA induced a higher likelihood of college education for both sons and daughters, but of vocational training only for sons. Overall, the BTA shock accounts for 36% of the overall increase in mobility for both genders. Our results control for Vietnam's own tariff reductions, which do not seem to have any statistically significant impact on mobility.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 15243

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Trade and Labor Market Interactions
Economic Impacts of Globalization: Labor
Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
Subject
international trade
export market access
intergenerational mobility

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mitra, Devashish
Pham, Hoang
Ural Marchand, Beyza
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mitra, Devashish
  • Pham, Hoang
  • Ural Marchand, Beyza
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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