Artikel

Forecasting returns with fundamentals-removed investor sentiment

The Baker and Wurgler (2006) sentiment index purports to measure irrational investor sentiment, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is designed to largely reflect fundamentals. Removing this fundamental component from the Baker and Wurgler index creates an index of investor sentiment that may better capture irrational sentiment. This new index predicts returns better than the original Baker and Wurgler index as well as the alternative Baker and Wurgler sentiment index.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: International Journal of Financial Studies ; ISSN: 2227-7072 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2015 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 319-341 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Financial Forecasting and Simulation
Subject
investor sentiment
return predictability
stock market
consumer confidence

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Stivers, Adam
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.3390/ijfs3030319
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Stivers, Adam
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2015

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