Arbeitspapier

The effect of unconventional monetary policy on inflation expectations: Evidence from firms in the United Kingdom

This paper investigates the effect of quantitative easing (QE) and other unconventional monetary policies on inflation and wage expectations of UK manufacturing firms. To identify the effect of QE on firms' expectations, we use a novel approach of combining microeconometric data with macroeconomic shocks: QE is exogenous to inflation expectations of individual firms, and so are other macroeconomic developments like aggregate inflation or GDP growth. We find that firms' inflation expectations increase by 0.22 percentage points in response to £50 billion of QE, implying that inflation expectations are part of the transmission mechanism of QE. In contrast, we find a positive but small and insignificant effect of forward guidance on inflation and wage expectations.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: External MPC Unit Discussion Paper ; No. 47

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Monetary Policy
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Thema
Inflation expectations
firm survey data
unconventional monetary policy
quantitative easing

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Boneva, Lena
Cloyne, James
Weale, Martin
Wieladek, Tomasz
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit
(wo)
London
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Boneva, Lena
  • Cloyne, James
  • Weale, Martin
  • Wieladek, Tomasz
  • Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit

Entstanden

  • 2016

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