Arbeitspapier

Monetary convergence and risk premiums in the EU candidate countries

This study examines the link between various monetary policy regimes and the ability to manage inflation and exchange rate risk premiums in the EU candidate countries as they undergo monetary convergence to the eurozone. The underlying hypothesis is that a system of 'flexible inflation targeting' may be an optimal policy choice for managing these two categories of risk. A model of inflation and exchange rate risk premiums within the context of inflation targeting is proposed. Recent trends in these risk premiums in Hungary, the Czech Republic and Poland are tested by using the GARCH (1,1) methodology.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ZEI Working Paper ; No. B 26-2002

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: International Trade, Finance, Investment, Relations, and Aid
Subject
inflation risk premium
exchange rate risk premium
inflation targeting
monetary convergence
transition economies
Geldpolitik
Internationale wirtschaftspolitische Koordination
EU-Erweiterung
Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
Inflatio

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Orlowski, Lucjan T.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Orlowski, Lucjan T.
  • Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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