Arbeitspapier

Combination of biased forecasts: Bias correction or bias based weights?

Most of the literature on combination of forecasts deals with the assumption of unbiased individual forecasts. Here, we consider the case of biased forecasts and discuss two different combination techniques resulting in an unbiased forecast. On the one hand we correct the individual forecasts, and on the other we calculate bias based weights. A simulation study gives some insight in the situations where we should use the different methods.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Technical Report ; No. 1999,50

Subject
combination of forecasts
bias correction
regression
generalized Jackknife
multivariate forecasts
Prognoseverfahren
Bias
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Wenzel, Thomas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475 - Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen
(where)
Dortmund
(when)
1999

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Wenzel, Thomas
  • Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475 - Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen

Time of origin

  • 1999

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