Arbeitspapier

The Bitcoin-macro disconnect

This paper investigates the link between Bitcoin and macroeconomic fundamentals by estimating the impact of macroeconomic news on Bitcoin using an event study with intraday data. The key result is that, unlike other U.S. asset classes, Bitcoin is orthogonal to monetary and macroeconomic news. This disconnect is puzzling as unexpected changes in discount rates should, in principle, affect the price of Bitcoin even when interpreting Bitcoin as a purely speculative asset.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 1052

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Bitcoin
U.S. asset prices
high-frequency data
monetary surprises
macroeconomic announcements

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Benigno, Gianluca
Rosa, Carlo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Benigno, Gianluca
  • Rosa, Carlo
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2023

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