External financing and economic activity in the euro area: Why are bank loans special?

Arbeitspapier

Using a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) identified with a mix of sign and zero restrictions, we show that a restrictive bank loan supply shock has a strong and persistent negative impact on real GDP and the GDP deflator. This result comes about even though flows of other sources of financing, such as equity and debt securities, expand strongly and act as a "spare tire" for the reduction in bank loans. We show that this result can be rationalized by a recently revived view of banking, which holds that banks increase the nominal purchasing power of the economy when they create additional deposits in the act of lending. Consequently, our findings indicate that a substitution of bank loans by other sources of financing might have negative macroeconomic repercussions.

Object Details

• ISBN: 978-3-95729-345-9
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 04/2017

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) ; Money and Interest Rates: General ; Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General ; Financial Institutions and Services: General ; Corporate Finance and Governance: General
• Subject: bank loans ; Bayesian VAR ; credit creation ; ECB ; euro area ; external financing ; financing structure

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Aldasoro, Iñaki ; Unger, Robert
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Deutsche Bundesbank
• (where): Frankfurt a. M.
• (when): 2017

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/157251
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET