Artikel

Can the Baidu Index predict realized volatility in the Chinese stock market?

This paper incorporates the Baidu Index into various heterogeneous autoregressive type time series models and shows that the Baidu Index is a superior predictor of realized volatility in the SSE 50 Index. Furthermore, the predictability of the Baidu Index is found to rise as the forecasting horizon increases. We also find that continuous components enhance predictive power across all horizons, but that increases are only sustained in the short and medium terms, as the long-term impact on volatility is less persistent. Our findings should be expected to influence investors interested in constructing trading strategies based on realized volatility.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Financial Innovation ; ISSN: 2199-4730 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-31 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Klassifikation
Management
Thema
Baidu Index
Chinese stock market
HAR model
Realized volatility

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Zhang, Wei
Yan, Kai
Shen, Dehua
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.1186/s40854-020-00216-y
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Zhang, Wei
  • Yan, Kai
  • Shen, Dehua
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2021

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