Buch

Bubbles in the Finnish and US equities markets

Tests for unit roots in log dividend yields, which are consistent with `rational bubbles' in stock prices, are conducted for the S&P500 and Finnish stock market indexes.In addition to the traditional unit root tests, we split the data into 10-year segments and use frequency domain analysis to test for the presence of unit roots in the dividend yield data.The results strongly suggest the existence of bubbles in both the US and Finnish markets.Finally we develop a novel dividend yield-based method to track periods when stock prices divert their fundamental levels. This indicator produces promising results, as it seems to have some forecasting ability concerning booms and busts in the stock markets.

ISBN
952-462-307-2
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Studies ; No. E:35

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Comparative Economic Systems: General
Thema
equity price
bubble
rolling ADF
Kapitalanlage
Aktienmarkt
Spekulationsblase
Dividende
Vergleich
USA
Finnland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Taipalus, Katja
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2006

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Buch

Beteiligte

  • Taipalus, Katja
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2006

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