Arbeitspapier

Long-range dependence in returns and volatility of Central European Stock indices

In the paper, we research on the presence of long-range dependence in returns and volatility of BUX, PX and WIG between years 1997 and 2009 with use of classical and modified rescaled range. Moving block bootstrap with pre-whitening and postblackening is used for the construction of confidence intervals for the hypothesis testing. We show that there is no significant long-range dependence in returns of all examined indices. However, significant long-range dependence is detected in volatility of all three indices. The results for returns are contradictory with several studies which claim that developing markets are persistent. However, majority of these studies either do not use the confidence intervals at all or only the ones based on standard normal distribution. Therefore, the results of such studies should be reexamined and reinterpreted.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IES Working Paper ; No. 3/2010

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Financial Markets
Thema
long-range dependence
rescaled range
modified rescaled range
bootstrapping
Zeitreihenanalyse
Statistische Methode
Kapitaleinkommen
Volatilität
Aktienindex
Ungarn
Tschechische Republik
Polen

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Krištoufek, Ladislav
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Charles University in Prague, Institute of Economic Studies (IES)
(wo)
Prague
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Krištoufek, Ladislav
  • Charles University in Prague, Institute of Economic Studies (IES)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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