Arbeitspapier

Natural resources: Curse or blessing?

Are natural resources a 'curse' or a 'blessing'? The empirical evidence suggests either outcome is possible. The paper surveys a variety of hypotheses and supporting evidence for why some countries benefit and others lose from the presence of natural resources. These include that a resource bonanza induces appreciation of the real exchange rate, deindustrialization and bad growth prospects, and that these adverse effects are more severe in volatile countries with bad institutions and lack of rule of law, corruption, presidential democracies, and underdeveloped financial systems. Another hypothesis is that a resource boom reinforces rent grabbing and civil conflict especially if institutions are bad, induces corruption especially in non-democratic countries, and keeps in place bad policies. Finally, resource rich developing economies seem unable to successfully convert their depleting exhaustible resources into other productive assets. The survey also offers some welfare-based fiscal rules for harnessing resource windfalls in developed and developing economies.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3125

Classification
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Estimation: General
Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
Economic Growth of Open Economies
Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: General
Subject
resource curse
cross-country
panel and quasi-experimental evidence
Dutch disease
institutions
corruption
financial development
volatility
Hotelling rule
genuine saving
Hartwick rule
natural resource wealth management
sustainable development
Natürliche Ressourcen
Rohstoffressourcen
Dutch Disease
Wirtschaftswachstum
Institutionalismus
Hotelling-Regel
Nachhaltige Entwicklung
Vergleich
Welt
Entwicklungsländer
Industriestaaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van der Ploeg, Frederick
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
01.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van der Ploeg, Frederick
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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