Arbeitspapier

The Democratic Window of Opportunity: Evidence from Riots in Sub-Saharan Africa

We show that drought-induced changes in the intensity of riots lead to moves towards democracy in sub-Saharan Africa, and that these changes are often a result of concessions made as a result of the riots. This provides evidence that low-intensity conflict can have a substantial short-run impact on democratic change, and supports the .window of opportunity. hypothesis: droughts lead to an increase in the threat of conflict, and incumbents often respond by making democratic concessions.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4884

Classification
Wirtschaft
Analysis of Collective Decision-Making: General
Capitalist Systems: Political Economy
Subject
riots
drought
transitions
democracy
autocracy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aidt, Toke
Leon, Gabriel
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aidt, Toke
  • Leon, Gabriel
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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