Arbeitspapier

Euro money market spreads during the 2007-? financial crisis

In the paper we investigate the empirical features of euro area money market turbulence during the recent financial crisis. By means of a novel Fractionally Integrated Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive model, we find evidence of a deterministic level factor in the EURIBOR-OIS (OIS) spreads term structure, associated with the two waves of stress in the interbank market, following the BNP Paribas (9 August 2007) and the Lehman Brothers (16 September 2008) "shocks", and two additional factors, of the long memory type, bearing the interpretation of curvature and slope factors. The unfolding of the crisis yielded a significant increase in the persistence and volatility of OIS spreads. We also find evidence of a declining trend in the level and volatility of OIS spreads since December 2008, associated with ECB interest rate cuts and full allotment policy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1437

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Central Banks and Their Policies
International Financial Markets
Subject
credit/liquidity risk
fractionally integrated heteroskedastic factor vector autoregressive model
money market interest rates

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cassola, Nuno
Morana, Claudio
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cassola, Nuno
  • Morana, Claudio
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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