Arbeitspapier

International capital flows: Private versus public flows in developing and developed countries

Empirically, net capital inflows are pro-cyclical in developed countries and countercyclical in developing countries. That said, private inflows are pro-cyclical and public inflows are counter-cyclical in both groups of countries. The dominance of private (public) inflows in developed (developing) countries drives the difference in total net inflows. We rationalize these patterns using a dynamic stochastic two-sector model of a small open economy facing borrowing constraints. Private agents over-borrow because of the pecuniary externality arising from constraints. The government saves abroad to reduce aggregate debt, making the economy resilient to adverse shocks. Differences in borrowing constraints and shock processes across countries explain the empirical patterns of capital inflows.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2020-27

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
International Lending and Debt Problems
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Thema
reserves
pecuniary externality
cyclicality of net capital flows
Kapitalflussrechnung
Adverse Selektion
Schock
Entwicklungsländer
Industrieländer

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kim, Yun Jung
Zhang, Jing
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
(wo)
Chicago, IL
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.21033/wp-2020-27
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kim, Yun Jung
  • Zhang, Jing
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Entstanden

  • 2020

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