Arbeitspapier

Banking and the macroeconomy in China: A banking crisis deferred?

The downturn in the world economy following the global banking crisis has left the Chinese economy relatively unscathed. This paper develops a model of the Chinese economy using a DSGE framework with a banking sector to shed light on this episode. It differs from other applications in the use of indirect inference procedure to test the fitted model. The model finds that the main shocks hitting China in the crisis were international and that domestic banking shocks were unimportant. However, directed bank lending and direct government spending was used to supplement monetary policy to aggressively offset shocks to demand. The model finds that government expenditure feedback reduces the frequency of a business cycle crisis but that any feedback effect on investment creates excess capacity and instability in output.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2013/5

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Subject
DSGE model
financial frictions
China
crises
indirect inference
Konjunktur
Dynamisches Gleichgewicht
Finanzsektor
Wirtschaftskrise
Schätzung
China
Finanzkrise
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Le, Vo Phuong Mai
Matthews, Kent
Meenagh, David
Minford, Patrick
Xiao, Zhiguo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Le, Vo Phuong Mai
  • Matthews, Kent
  • Meenagh, David
  • Minford, Patrick
  • Xiao, Zhiguo
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2013

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