Arbeitspapier

Financial openness of China and India: Implications for capital account liberalisation

We gauge the de-facto capital account openness of the Chinese and Indian economies by testing the law of one price on the basis of onshore and offshore price gaps for three key financial instruments. Generally, the three measures show both economies becoming more financially open over time. Over the past decade, the Indian economy on average appears to be more open financially than the Chinese economy, but China seems to be catching up with India in the wake of the global financial crisis. Both have more work to do to open their capital accounts. Our price-based measures suggest strong inward pressure on Chinese money markets, in contrast to the consensus projection that China is likely to experience net private capital outflows when it thoroughly opens up financially. Policymakers need to monitor and to manage the risks along the dynamic path of capital account liberalisation.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bruegel Working Paper ; No. 2014/05

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multinational Firms; International Business
Foreign Exchange
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
Economic Impacts of Globalization: Finance
International Financial Markets
Subject
capital account openness
financial integration
law of one price
foreign exchange market
currency internationalisation
Chinn-Ito
Lane-Milesi-Ferretti

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ma, Guonan
McCauley, Robert N.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bruegel
(where)
Brussels
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ma, Guonan
  • McCauley, Robert N.
  • Bruegel

Time of origin

  • 2014

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