Arbeitspapier

Can Pro-Marriage Policies Work? An Analysis of Marginal Marriages

Policies to promote marriage are controversial, and it is unclear whether they are successful. To analyze such policies, it is essential to distinguish between a marriage that is created by a marriage-promoting policy (marginal marriage) and a marriage that would have been formed even in the absence of a state intervention (average marriage). In this paper, we exploit the suspension of a cash-on-hand marriage subsidy in Austria to examine the differential behavior of marginal and average marriages. The announcement of this suspension led to an enormous marriage boom (plus 350 percent) among eligible couples that allows us to identify marginal marriages. Applying a difference-in-differences approach, we show that marginal marriages are surprisingly as stable as average marriages, but have fewer children and have them later in marriage. Notably, the children born to marginal marriages are similar in terms of health at birth.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 1209

Classification
Wirtschaft
Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure; Domestic Abuse
Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies; includes inheritance and gift taxes
National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
Subject
Marriage-promoting policies
marriage subsidies
marital instability
divorce
fertility
Ehe
Familienpolitik
Wirkungsanalyse
Fruchtbarkeit
Österreich

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Frimmel, Wolfgang
Halla, Martin
Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Department of Economics
(where)
Linz
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Frimmel, Wolfgang
  • Halla, Martin
  • Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf
  • Johannes Kepler University of Linz, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2012

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