Arbeitspapier

Large fiscal episodes and sustainable development some international evidence

This paper examines the association between episodes of large fiscal impulses (expansions and adjustments) and sustainable development indicators (prosperity, resilience, and inclusivity). We provide country studies of Chile, Poland, South Africa, and Thailand, examining the components of government expenses and tax revenues, and reporting four stylized patterns from the analysis as follows: (i) Fiscal expansions led to higher growth rates and reduced negative trade-offs, e.g., pollution and poor-health mortalities associated with economic growth. (ii) Fiscal adjustments led to a more inclusive economy, lowered poverty headcounts, improved sanitation, and increased cleaner technology access. (iii) Fiscal expansions followed an increase in direct taxes (especially corporate taxes) and a decline in social contributions, and preceded a decline in other direct taxes and an increase in wage bills. (iv) Fiscal adjustments followed a decline in other direct taxes and social contributions, an increase in wage bills, and preceded a decline in government consumption expenditure and transfers. In light of these findings, domestic resource mobilization should consider the time paths of the taxes and expenditure components to understand their empirical linkages with sustainable development outcomes in the respective countries.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 644

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Thema
sustainable development
tax base
government expenses
large fiscal changes

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Aizenman, Joshua
Jinjarak, Yothin
Hien Nguyen
Park, Donghyun
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
(wo)
Manila
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.22617/WPS210523-2
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Aizenman, Joshua
  • Jinjarak, Yothin
  • Hien Nguyen
  • Park, Donghyun
  • Asian Development Bank (ADB)

Entstanden

  • 2021

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