Arbeitspapier

The 2015 European Refugee Crisis and Residential Housing Rents in Germany

We study the impact of the 2015 mass arrival of refugees to Germany on residential housing rents. Using unique data on end of year county-level refugee populations and data on monthly offers of flats for rent from Germany’s leading online property broker Immobilienscout24, we find strong evidence in difference-in-differences regressions for a negative effect of refugee immigration on rental prices. Adverse price effects, however, appear attenuated in the heyday of the crisis in late 2015 if a larger share of refugees is housed in decentralized accommodation. Various robustness checks corroborate our findings, including IV regressions that exploit for identification information on the pre-crisis location of refugee reception centers and group quarters.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 12047

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Migration
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
Housing Supply and Markets
Subject
housing rents
refugee migration
Germany

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kürschner Rauck, Kathleen
Kvasnicka, Michael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kürschner Rauck, Kathleen
  • Kvasnicka, Michael
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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