Arbeitspapier

State dependence in Canadian welfare participation

This paper analyzes transitions into and out-of Social Assistance in Canada. We estimate a dynamic Probit model, controlling for endogenous initial conditions and unobserved heterogeneity, using longitudinal data extracted from the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics (SLID) for the years 1993-2000. The data indicates that there are substantial provincial differences in social assistance participation. The empirical results indicate that a welfare trap does exist in Canada, but the extent of it varies across provinces. The results also suggest that there is a link between provincial variations in structural and spurious state dependence and regional differences in welfare generosity. In particular, the existence of structural state dependence, or a welfare trap, appears to be more likely in provinces with relatively high benefit levels. One implication of this result is that a change in the welfare benefit structure is not likely to lower participation as significantly among less generous provinces as more generous ones.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 2266

Classification
Wirtschaft
Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General
Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
Demographic Economics: Public Policy
Subject
welfare
state dependence
unobserved heterogeneity
initial conditions
transition
Canada

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hansen, Jörgen
Lofstrom, Magnus
Zhang, Xuelin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hansen, Jörgen
  • Lofstrom, Magnus
  • Zhang, Xuelin
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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