Arbeitspapier

Fiscal spillovers in the Euro area

This paper analyses the dynamic effects of fiscal imbalances in a given EMU member state on the borrowing costs of other countries in the euro area. The estimation of a multivariate, multi-country time series model (specifically a Global VAR, or GVAR) using quarterly data for the EMU period suggests that euro-denominated government yields are strongly linked with each other. However, financial markets seem to be able to discriminate among different issuers. Consequently, fiscal imbalances in Italy and in other peripheral countries should be closely monitored by their EMU partners and the European institutions.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3693

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Fiscal Policy
International Policy Coordination and Transmission
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
global VAR methodology
fiscal spillovers
euro area
public debt
Öffentliche Schulden
Spillover-Effekt
Rendite
Öffentliche Anleihe
Kapitalkosten
Eurozone

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Girardi, Alessandro
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Girardi, Alessandro
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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