Arbeitspapier

The economic implications of introducing carbon taxes in South Africa

South Africa is considering introducing carbon taxes to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. We evaluate potential impacts using a dynamic economy-wide model linked to an energy sector model. Simulation results indicate that a phased-in carbon tax that reaches US$30 per ton of CO2 by 2022 achieves the ambitious national emissions reductions targets set for 2025. Relative to a baseline with free disposal of CO2, constant world prices and no change in trading partner behaviour, the preferred tax scenario reduces national absorption and employment by 1.2 and 0.6 per cent, respectively, by 2025. However, if South Africa's trading partners unilaterally impose a carbon consumption tax then welfare and employment losses exceed those of a domestic carbon tax. Border tax adjustments improve welfare and employment while maintaining the same emissions reductions. The mode for recycling carbon tax revenues strongly influences distributional outcomes, with tradeoffs between growth and equity.

ISBN
978-92-9230-509-3
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2012/46

Classification
Wirtschaft
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
Environment and Growth
Subject
carbon tax
growth
employment
income distribution
South Africa
Ökosteuer
Wirtschaftswachstum
Beschäftigungseffekt
Einkommensverteilung
Südafrika

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Alton, Theresa
Arndt, Channing
Davies, Rob
Hartley, Faaiqa
Makrelov, Konstantin
Thurlow, James
Ubogu, Dumebi
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Alton, Theresa
  • Arndt, Channing
  • Davies, Rob
  • Hartley, Faaiqa
  • Makrelov, Konstantin
  • Thurlow, James
  • Ubogu, Dumebi
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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