Artikel

Stationary threshold vector autoregressive models

This paper examines the steady state properties of the Threshold Vector Autoregressive model. Assuming that the trigger variable is exogenous and the regime process follows a Bernoulli distribution, necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary distribution are derived. A situation related to so-called 'locally explosive models', where the stationary distribution exists though the model is explosive in one regime, is analysed. Simulations show that locally explosive models can generate some of the key properties of financial and economic data. They also show that assessing the stationarity of threshold models based on simulations might well lead to wrong conclusions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Journal of Risk and Financial Management ; ISSN: 1911-8074 ; Volume: 11 ; Year: 2018 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-23 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
asset price bubbles
explosive regimes
multivariate nonlinear time series
steady state distributions
TVAR models

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Grynkiv, Galyna
Stentoft, Lars
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2018

DOI
doi:10.3390/jrfm11030045
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:23 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Grynkiv, Galyna
  • Stentoft, Lars
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2018

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