Arbeitspapier

The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT

We study whether technology gains in sectors related to Information and Communications Technology (ICT) increase productivity in the rest of the economy. To separate exogenous gains in ICT from other technological progress, we use the relative price of ICT goods and services in a structural VAR with medium-run restrictions. Using local projections to estimate the effect of ICT-related technology gains on sectoral technology (TFP), we find two sets of results. First, since the mid-2000s there have been positive and persistent technology spillovers to sectors intensively using ICT. Second, neglecting leasing activity leads to an overestimation of the TFP response for all sectors except the leasing sector, where it is strongly underestimated.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8790

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Economywide Country Studies: Europe
Subject
digitization
information and communications technology
technology shocks
local projections
structural VARs
medium-run restrictions
growth accounting

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Elstner, Steffen
Grimme, Christian
Kecht, Valentin
Lehmann, Robert
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Elstner, Steffen
  • Grimme, Christian
  • Kecht, Valentin
  • Lehmann, Robert
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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