Arbeitspapier

Dynamic Network Perspective of Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies are becoming an attractive asset class and are the focus of recent quantitative research. The joint dynamics of the cryptocurrency market yields information on network risk. Utilizing the adaptive LASSO approach, we build a dynamic network of cryptocurrencies and model the latent communities with a dynamic stochastic blockmodel. We develop a dynamic covariate-assisted spectral clustering method to uniformly estimate the latent group membership of cryptocurrencies consistently. We show that return inter-predictability and crypto characteristics, including hashing algorithms and proof types, jointly determine the crypto market segmentation. Based on this classification result, it is natural to employ eigenvector centrality to identify a cryptocurrency’s idiosyncratic risk. An asset pricing analysis finds that a cross-sectional portfolio with a higher centrality earns a higher risk premium. Further tests confirm that centrality serves as a risk factor well and delivers valuable information content on cryptocurrency markets.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IRTG 1792 Discussion Paper ; No. 2019-009

Classification
Wirtschaft
Mathematical and Quantitative Methods: General
Subject
Community Detection
Dynamic Stochastic Blockmodel
Spectral Clustering
Node Covariate
Return Predictability
Portfolio Management

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Guo, Li
Tao, Yubo
Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series"
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Guo, Li
  • Tao, Yubo
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
  • Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series"

Time of origin

  • 2019

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