Arbeitspapier

International terrorism, political instability and the escalation effect

What are the main causes of international terrorism? The lessons from the surge of academic research that followed 9/11 remain elusive. The careful investigation of the relative roles of economic and political conditions did little to change the fact that existing econometric estimates diverge in size, sign and significance. In this paper we present a new rationale (the escalation effect) stressing domestic political instability as the main reason for international terrorism. Econometric evidence from a panel of more than 130 countries (yearly from 1968 to 2003) shows this to be a much more promising avenue for future research than the available alternatives.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: KOF Working Papers ; No. 220

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
International Relations and International Political Economy: Other
National Security and War
Other Economic Systems: Political Economy; Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
Subject
terrorism
international terrorism
political instability
escalation
Politische Gewalt
International
Politische Stabilität
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Campos, Nauro F.
Gassebner, Martin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute
(where)
Zurich
(when)
2009

DOI
doi:10.3929/ethz-a-005778530
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Campos, Nauro F.
  • Gassebner, Martin
  • ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute

Time of origin

  • 2009

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