Arbeitspapier

How risky is investment in human capital?

The risk of investment in schooling has largely been ignored. We assess the variance in the rate of return by surveying the international empirical literature from this fresh perspective and by simulating risky earnings profiles in alternative options, choosing parameters on basis of the very limited evidence. The distribution of rates of return appears positively skewed. Our best guess of ex ante risk in university education is a coefficient of variation of about 0.3, comparable to that in a randomly selected financial portfolio with some 30 stocks. Allowing for stochastic components in earnings also markedly affects expected returns.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 1261

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
education
return
earnings dispersion
risk
Bildungsinvestition
Bildungsertrag
Risiko

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hartog, Joop
van Ophem, Hans
Bajdechi, Simona Maria
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hartog, Joop
  • van Ophem, Hans
  • Bajdechi, Simona Maria
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2004

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