Arbeitspapier

Open-Economy Inflation Forecast Targeting

The paper shows that the procedure of inflation forecast targeting arguably implemented by Sveriges Riksbank and the Bank of England may lead to high nominal and real variability; the latter being manifested most notably in the traded sector. A long inflation forecast targeting horizon results in extensive smoothing of interest rate movements. This implies only weak nominal interest rate responses to disequilibrium conditions, causing the real interest rate and hence the real exchange rate to fluctuate persistently. The paper offers an explanation for the recent large variability of Swedish inflation and UK manufacturing sector output.

ISBN
82-7553-158-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Arbeidsnotat ; No. 2000/2

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Subject
inflation targeting
forecast targeting
monetary policy
small open economy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Leitemo, Kai
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Norges Bank
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2000

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Leitemo, Kai
  • Norges Bank

Time of origin

  • 2000

Other Objects (12)