Arbeitspapier

Reconsidering the common ratio effect: The roles of compound independence, reduction, and coalescing

Common ratio effects should be ruled out if subjects' preferences satisfy compound independence, reduction of compound lotteries, and coalescing. In other words, at least one of these axioms should be violated in order to generate a common ratio effect. Relying on a simple experiment, we investigate which failure of these axioms is concomitant with the empirical observation of common ratio effects.We observe that compound independence and reduction of compound lotteries hold, whereas coalescing is systematically violated. This result provides support for theories which explain the common ratio effect by violations of coalescing (i.e., configural weight theory) instead of violations of compound independence (i.e., rank-dependent utility or cumulative prospect theory).

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1930

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Thema
common ratio effect
coalescing
reduction
compound independence
event splitting
branch splitting
isolation effect
Allais paradox

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Schmidt, Ulrich
Seidl, Christian
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2014

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Schmidt, Ulrich
  • Seidl, Christian
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2014

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