Arbeitspapier

Intra-regional trade in East Asia: The decoupling fallacy, crisis, and policy challenges

This paper examines the export experience of East Asian economies in the aftermaths of the crisis against the backdrop of a systematic analysis of precrisis trade patterns. The analysis is motivated by the decoupling thesis, which was a popular theme in Asian policy circles in the lead-up to the onset of the recent financial crisis, and aims to probe three key issues: Was the East Asian trade integration story that underpinned the decoupling thesis simply a statistical artifact or the massive export contraction caused by an overreaction of traders to the global economic crisis and/or by the drying up of trade credit, which overpowered the cushion provided by intra-regional trade? What are the new policy challenges faced by the East Asian economies? Is there room for an integrated policy response that marks a clear departure from the precrisis policy stance favoring export-oriented growth? The findings serve to caution against a possible costly backlash against openness to foreign trade arising from the newfound enthusiasm for rebalancing growth (redressing the strong bias for exports in development policy), and make a strong case for a well-coordinated strategy to fight new protectionism, as part of a long-term commitment to nondiscriminatory multilateral and unilateral trade liberalization.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ADBI Working Paper ; No. 177

Classification
Wirtschaft
Empirical Studies of Trade
Economic Integration
Subject
Finanzmarktkrise
Außenhandelseffekt
Internationale Arbeitsmobilität
Außenhandelsstruktur
Ostasien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Athukorala, Prema-chandra
Kohpaiboon, Archanun
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)
(where)
Tokyo
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Athukorala, Prema-chandra
  • Kohpaiboon, Archanun
  • Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

Time of origin

  • 2009

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