Arbeitspapier

International Trade and Job Polarization: Evidence at the Worker Level

This paper examines the role of international trade for job polarization, the phenomenon in which employment for high- and low-wage occupations increases but mid-wage occupations decline. With employer-employee matched data on virtually all workers and firms in Denmark between 1999 and 2009, we use instrumental-variables techniques and a quasi-natural experiment to show that import competition is a major cause of job polarization. Import competition with China accounts for about 17% of the aggregate decline in mid-wage employment. Many mid-skill workers are pushed into low-wage service jobs while others move into high-wage jobs. The direction of movement, up or down, turns on the skill focus of workers' education. Workers with vocational training for a service occupation can avoid moving into low-wage service jobs, and among them workers with information-technology education are far more likely to move into high-wage jobs than other workers.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5978

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
import competition
inequality
vocational training

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Keller, Wolfgang
Utar, Hale
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Keller, Wolfgang
  • Utar, Hale
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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