Arbeitspapier
The influence of US dollar funding conditions on Asian financial markets
More than 20 years after the Asian financial crisis, the region's continued high reliance on United States (US) dollar-denominated funding has significant implications for the transmission of global financial conditions to domestic financial and macroeconomic circumstances. Given limited domestic capital market-based financing solutions, a high reliance on funding denominated in US dollars renders countries vulnerable to changing global financial and liquidity conditions. Using a dynamic panel and a vector autoregression model to assess the exchange rate as a possible transmission channel, we find that changes in bilateral US dollar exchange rates can have a significant impact on sovereign credit risk. In particular, a depreciation of the domestic currency against the US dollar leads to a widening of the sovereign bond spread. This finding suggests a significant relationship between US dollar funding exposure, US dollar liquidity conditions, and domestic financial conditions in some emerging Asian economies, and thus highlights one source of structural vulnerability. Given that the magnitude of the effects varies across countries, policy makers need to monitor closely the interplay between the exchange rates and local financial market conditions with tailored prescriptions for domestic financial resilience.
- Language
-
Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
-
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 634
- Classification
-
Wirtschaft
Economic Integration
Foreign Exchange
Economic Impacts of Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts
Economic Impacts of Globalization: Finance
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
International Financial Markets
- Subject
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bond spread
emerging Asian economies
exchange rate
US dollar funding conditions
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Lee, Junkyu
Rosenkranz, Peter
Ramayandi, Arief
Pham, Hoang
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Asian Development Bank (ADB)
- (where)
-
Manila
- (when)
-
2021
- DOI
-
doi:10.22617/WPS210080-2
- Handle
- Last update
- 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Lee, Junkyu
- Rosenkranz, Peter
- Ramayandi, Arief
- Pham, Hoang
- Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Time of origin
- 2021
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