Artikel

Are financial market states recurrent and persistent?

Market participants often invoke the concept of discrete state when discussing financial markets. Bull market, bear market, depression, and recession are all terms that map to discrete market states. Mental models of how markets behave in each state and transition between states are then applied to decision-making. Implicit to that approach is the assumption that states are persistent and recurrent over time. This article seeks to formalize notions of discrete market states by proposing a parsimonious and innovative approach to segmenting periods of time into discrete states. The technique is demonstrated and evaluated in a series of case studies.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Cogent Economics & Finance ; ISSN: 2332-2039 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-21 ; Abingdon: Taylor & Francis

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
portfolio design
regimes
discrete states
clusters
modern portfolio theory
Markov
states

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Burkett, Matthew W.
Scherer, William T.
Todd, Andrew
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Taylor & Francis
(where)
Abingdon
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.1080/23322039.2019.1622171
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Burkett, Matthew W.
  • Scherer, William T.
  • Todd, Andrew
  • Taylor & Francis

Time of origin

  • 2019

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